Author Archives: R. Daniels Chidozie

February 2024 Inflation review – Inflation nudges to 31.7%, a new 27-year high

Analyst: Ibukun Omoyeni*i.omoyeni@vetiva.com Inflation nudges to 31.7%, a new 27-year high Headline inflation rose by +180bps to 31.70% y/y in February (January: 29.90% y/y). This outturn is a 40bps print above Bloomberg consensus’ estimate of 31.30% y/y (Vetiva: 31.12% y/y). We attribute the surge to sustained security challenges in food producing states. On a monthly...

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LAFARGE AFRICA PLC FY’23 Earnings Release – Higher prices masks weak volumes

Analyst: Abigail Alabi* a.alabi@vetiva.com Target price: ₦42.63 Rating: BUY Lafarge recently released its audited result, with PAT for the FY’23 period declining by 5% y/y, despite the strong Q4’23 performance. Tax pressures continue to weigh on bottom line In Q4’23, revenue improved by 13% y/y to ₦116 billion, on the back of higher cement prices,...

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MTN NIGERIA COMMUNICATIONS PLC FY’23 Earnings Release – Topline maintains growth trajectory

Analyst: Victoria Ejugwu* v.ejugwu@vetiva.com Target price: ₦254.86 Rating: BUY MTNN’s full year performance came in mixed, as the company reported strong growth in topline but saw earnings wiped out, as foreign exchange losses mounted. For the fourth quarter, the company reported a 25% y/y increase in revenue to ₦695 billion, driven by growth in data...

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SEPLAT ENERGY PLC FY’23 – Performance mixed on higher opex, FX losses

Analyst: Victoria Ejugwu*v.ejugwu@vetiva.comTarget price: ₦2,102 Recommendation: SELL Topline expands on improved outputAmidst lower oil prices (-17% y/y), and in line with our estimates, Seplat grew its revenue by 12% y/y to $1.1 billion (inclusive of overlifts), driven by improved oil production. Stripping out overlifts, revenue only posted a 4% y/y growth. For specifics, oil receipts […]

MPC awakens the hawks in first meeting of the year

Ibukun Omoyeni*i.omoyeni@vetiva.com The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) gave its first policy direction under the chairmanship of Dr. Olayemi Cardoso with all 12 members present. The Committee raised the Monetary Policy Rate by 400bps to 22.75%, the highest level since its introduction in 2006. In addition, the asymmetric corridor around the MPR was adjusted to +100/-700bps […]

Initiation of Coverage – Transcorp Power PLC

We initiate coverage of TRANSCORP Power PLC (TPP) with a BUY recommendation and a target price of ₦288.36. Our valuation utilizes the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology and reflects our belief in TPP’s immense growth potential… TPP has demonstrated a consistent track record of impressive financial performance, exhibiting both revenue growth and profitability expansion over […]

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