Delivering growth amidst several headwinds. Across our coverage countries, trends have been similar, and just like we anticipated mobile money and data has been the major growth driver for the industry in Sub-Saharan Africa. Although penetration rates differ, gaps still exist in each of these markets. Telcos have made considerable efforts to cover these gaps...
Policy Reforms to drive strong performance. With the over-due policies to drive reforms in the Oil & Gas sector now being implemented, our expectations for our coverage companies are now more optimistic. For the downstream segment, we note that much of the struggles our coverage companies faced was the effect of price controls on margins....
Our conviction stocks closed higher in November, gaining 1.8% m/m, underperforming the ASI by 1.2ppts. Our picks have yielded a return of 71.2% YTD, outperforming the ASI by 32.0ppts. Starting with the Consumer Goods sector, it was a mixed month as DANGSUGAR eased 7.94% m/m, while NESTLE (+9.5% m/m) closed in the green. All in,...
Analyst: Chidozie Daniels* Equity Markets – Fiscal policies dictate investor sentiment in Q3’23. It has been a mixed year for our coverage markets, and that did not change in Q3’23. For Nigeria and Ghana, domestic investors have been net buyers, despite foreign investors maintaining a risk-off stance to their respective stock markets, due to a...
Analyst: Olumide Sole* In its Q3 financial statements, ZENITHBANK reported a 68% y/y jump in Gross Earnings to ₦362 billion, 8% below our estimate of ₦392 billion. This improvement was majorly a result of the expansion of the bank’s loan book in Q3 amid elevated interest rates, as Interest Income grew 71% y/y to ₦256...
Analyst: Ibukun Omoyeni* In Q3’23, Nigeria’s real GDP growth slowed to 2.54% y/y, 9bps lower than our estimate (Vetiva: 2.63% y/y) and 30bps higher than the prior year (Q3’23: 2.25% y/y). We attribute this outcome to better oil production outcome, improved embrace of digital financial services platforms, and the negative passthrough of subsidy removal to...